It's hard to talk about the Epstein class without thinking about "The Economy" - "The Economy" in the sense of a kind of mystical, free-floating entity whose health or sickness determines the outcomes for all the rest of us, whom we must make sacrifices to if we are to prosper.
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Cory Doctorow
in reply to Cory Doctorow • • •Sensitive content
As nebulous as "The Economy" is as an entity, there's an economic priesthood that claims it can measure and even alter the course of the economy using complex mathematics. We probably won't ever understand their methods, but we can at least follow an indicator or two.
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Cory Doctorow
in reply to Cory Doctorow • • •Sensitive content
For example, changes to GDP, an aggregated statistic that is deceptively precise, given that it subsumes any number of estimates, qualitative judgments and wild-ass guesses, which are all disguised behind an official statistic that is often published to three decimal places.
There's plenty to criticize about GDP: a healthy GDP doesn't necessarily mean that the average worker is better off.
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Cory Doctorow
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When your rent goes up, so does GDP. Same with your salary going down (provided this results in more spending by your boss). GDP isn't really a measure of the health of "The Economy" - it's a measure of the parts of "The Economy" that make rich people (that is, the Epstein class) better off.
But what if there was a way to make money from calamitous collapses in GDP? What if the wealthy didn't just win when "number go up," but also when "number eat shit?"
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Cory Doctorow
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The latest batch of Epstein emails includes a particularly ghoulish exchange between Epstein and his business partner, the anti-democracy activist and billionaire Peter Thiel:
justice.gov/epstein/files/Data…
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Age Verification | United States Department of Justice
www.justice.govCory Doctorow
in reply to Cory Doctorow • • •Sensitive content
The email is dated 26 Jun 2016, right after Brexit, and in it, Epstein writes:
> return to tribalism . counter to globalization. amazing new alliances. you and I both agreed zero interest rates were too high, as i said in your office. finding things on their way to collapse , was much easier than finding the next bargain
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Cory Doctorow
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This is a perfect example of what Naomi Klein calls "disaster capitalism." It's been the norm since the crash of 2008, when bankers were made whole through public bailouts and mortgage holders were evicted by the millions to "foam the runway" for the banks:
wallstreetonparade.com/2012/08…
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How Treasury Secretary Geithner Foamed the Runways With Children's Shattered Lives
Pam Martens (wallstreetonparade.com)Cory Doctorow
in reply to Cory Doctorow • • •Sensitive content
The crash of 2008 turned a lot of people's homes - their only substantial possessions - into "distressed assets" that were purchased at fire-sale prices by Wall Street investors, who turned around and rented those homes out to people who were now priced out of the housing market at rents that kept them too poor to *ever* afford a home, under slum conditions that crawled with insects and black mold:
pluralistic.net/2024/10/01/hou…
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Pluralistic: Everyday homeowners are human shields for Wall Street’s Internet of Shit slumlords (01 Oct 2024) – Pluralistic: Daily links from Cory Doctorow
pluralistic.netCory Doctorow
in reply to Cory Doctorow • • •Sensitive content
Note here that economic collapse helps the Epstein class only if society has no social safety net. If Obama had supported homeowners instead of banks, there wouldn't have been a foreclosure crisis and thus there wouldn't have been any "distressed assets" flooding the market.
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Cory Doctorow
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So it's no surprise that the Epstein class are also obsessed with austerity. Peter Mandelson (British Labour's "Prince of Darkness") is a close ally of Epstein's, and also a key figure in the crushing austerity agenda of Blair, Brown and Starmer. He's a machine for turning Parliamentary majorities into distressed assets at scale.
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Cory Doctorow
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Same for Steve Bannon, another close Epstein ally, who boasts about his alliances with far-right figures who exalt the capital class and call for deregulation and the elimination of public services: Le Pen, Salvini, Farage. Combine that with Epstein and Thiel's gloating about "finding things on their way to collapse...much easier than finding the next bargain," and it starts to feel like these guys are even happier with "number eat shit" than they are with "number go up."
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Cory Doctorow
in reply to Cory Doctorow • • •Sensitive content
Trump is the undisputed king of the Epstein class, and he seems determined to drive "The Economy" over a cliff. Take his tariff program, modeled on the McKinley tariffs of 1890, which led to the Panic of 1893, a financial crisis that saw one in four American workers forced into unemployment and 15,000 businesses into bankruptcy (that's a lot of distressed assets!):
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panic_of…
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financial crisis
Contributors to Wikimedia projects (Wikimedia Foundation, Inc.)Cory Doctorow
in reply to Cory Doctorow • • •Sensitive content
Then there's Trump's mass deportation program, which will force lots of businesses (farms, restaurants, etc) into bankruptcy, creating another massive pool of distressed assets. Trump's given ICE $75b, while the DoJ Antitrust Division and FTC (which protect Americans from corporate scams) have seen their budgets take a real-terms cut. The majority of DoJ lawyers and FBI agents are working on immigration cases (against workers, not employers, mind!).
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Cory Doctorow
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The Antitrust Division has $275m to fight all of America's corporate crime:
organizedmoney.fm/p/white-coll…
I'm not saying that Trump is *trying* to induce another massive economic crash. I'm saying, rather, that within his coalition there is a substantial bloc of powerful, wealthy people who are on the hunt for "things on their way to collapse," and who are doubtless maneuvering to frustrate other Trump coalition members who are solely committed to "number go up."
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White Collar Crime Enforcement In The Age Of ICE
David Dayen (Organized Money)Cory Doctorow
in reply to Cory Doctorow • • •Sensitive content
Even the collapse of crypto creates lots of opportunities to "buy the dip." Not the dip in crypto (crypto's going to zero), but the dip in all the *real* things people bought with *real* money they got by borrowing against their shitcoins.
The thousand-plus children that Epstein lured to his island rape-camp were often "distressed assets" in their own right.
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Cory Doctorow
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Julie K Brown's groundbreaking reporting on Epstein for the *Miami Herald* described how he sought out children whose parents were poor, or neglectful, or both, on the grounds that those children would be "on their way to collapse," too.
The Epstein class's commitment to destroying "The Economy" makes sense when you understand that trashing civilization is "much easier than finding the next bargain." They want to buy the dip, so they're creating the dip.
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Cory Doctorow
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They don't need the *whole* number to go up, just theirs. They know that inclusive economies are more prosperous for society *as a whole*, but it makes criminals and predators worse off. The New Deal kicked off a period of American economic growth never seen before or since, but the rich despised it, because a prosperous economy is one in which it gets harder and harder to find "things on their way to collapse," and thus nearly impossible to "find[] the next bargain."
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Cory Doctorow
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Image:
Gage Skidmore (modified)
commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fil…
CC BY-SA 3.0
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File:Peter Thiel (51876609719).jpg - Wikimedia Commons
commons.wikimedia.orgDr. Juande Santander-Vela
in reply to Cory Doctorow • • •Sensitive content
Cory Doctorow
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Power_to_the_People (he/him)
in reply to Cory Doctorow • • •"But what if there was a way to make money from calamitous collapses in GDP?"
Pardon an observation tangential to the overall gist of the thread, but heterodox economist Steve Keen's work shows that GDP is statistically equivalent to energy turned into useful work. (His mantra: "Machinery without energy is a sculptire; Labor without energy is a corpse.")
In that context, those oligarchs seeking to benefit from "number eat shit" are suicidal.
Cavyherd
in reply to Cory Doctorow • • •It's been clear for a while that the sideways trend in All The Things was deliberate on somebody's part. The motivation (aside from "soften the US up for takeover" or whatever) has not been clear to me. But this makes a depressing kind of sense.
Thank you...?
2qx
in reply to Cory Doctorow • • •"Economies" that constantly broadcast their values and rules are often constructions. And often lead to mis-pricing.
Homes, for example, are literal deprecating assets. Like a car to get someone from point A to point B, a home is a thermal and moisture barrier to protect the occupants. It also falls apart like a car.
"The Economy" that rigs supply and credit to make homes always "appreciate" in value is where rubes get hurt. The folks really get hurt are the homeless.
screwlisp
in reply to Cory Doctorow • • •great essay.
I had a thought at the end that like how the epstein class benefits from economic depressions by buying financially collapsed assets
so their personal wealth number goes up disproportionately more relative to how the whole world's aggregate wealth number goes down,
we would *want* the gdp to go down, but specifically so that real peoples' wealth numbers are disproportionately higher (and the epstein class wealth numbers are even more disproportionately lower).
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