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#UsPol
#LeMonde has some very informative graphs about the Us Election, yes they are only in French but pretty clear I think:

  1. The results map so far:
    lemonde.fr/les-decodeurs/artic…
  2. Almost all states shifted more republican compared to the previous (2020) election:
    lemonde.fr/les-decodeurs/artic…
  3. The polls have always underestimated the vote for #Trump:
    lemonde.fr/les-decodeurs/artic…

Of course not all the votes have been counted yet but it doesn't look like it will change anything to these facts.

So, a clear and consistent far-right trend, despite all the personal flaws of that candidate and those close to him, that we really can't ignore or push under the rug.. Instead we need to fight it!

Screenshot of map of US states coloured according to the currently counted votes of the 2024 presidential election. The total count says 224 votes for Kamala Harris vs 277 votes for Donald Trump.
Screenshot of a graph showing evolution (towards democrats or republican) for a subset of US states. All but one of those shown here have moved to the right (more republican votes) in 2024 compared to 2020.
Screenshot of graph showing the difference between poll estimates and reality. In the last 2 elections (with trump as candidate) the Republican vote was underestimated.

Présidentielle américaine 2024 : la carte des résultats en temps réel, Etat par Etat

Notre carte et notre tableau présentent le nombre de grands électeurs remportés par Kamala Harris, vice-présidente sortante et candidate démocrate, ou par Donald Trump, son rival républicain.
Pierre Breteau (Le Monde)
#Trump #uspol #lemonde
in reply to El Duvelle

El Duvelle
El Duvelle
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#UsPol and here are some demographic exit poll statistics from NBC News:

nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elec…

Screenshot of what did people vote for according to their gender and ethnicity. Slight advantage for Rep in Men and Dem in Women. Strong dem advantage in Black voters.

Election 2024 live updates: Trump secures win over Harris in presidential race

Live updates and the latest news on the 2024 election as Donald Trump amasses Electoral College votes.
NBC News
#uspol
This entry was edited (2 weeks ago)
in reply to El Duvelle

El Duvelle
El Duvelle
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#USPol
Here are some interesting extracts from that exit poll survey:
(Blue/left is what democrat voters said, red/right is for republicans, I imagine that they categorised as Dem those who said they voted for Harris and Rep if they said they voted for Trump but this is not actually clearly explained)
Screenshot showing answer to "do you think the condition of the economy is excelled / good / not so good / poor" Results: clear divide on this aspect where Dems make most of the "excellent / good" categories and rep make most of "not so good" and especially "poor"
"Which ONE of these 5 issues mattered most in deciding how you voted for president" It looks like "the economy" was the strongest Rep reason while "the state of democracy" was the strongest Dem reason
"is US support for Israel: too strong / Not strong enough / about right" Equally divided among those polled, with most of those choosing "not strong enough" being Rep
"was your vote for president mainly: for your candidate / against their opponent" Most chose "for your candidate", a bit more than half of those are Rep. Of the 24% who chose " against their opponent" most are Dem. So the Dem votes seem to be less of an adhesion vote to Kamala than a repulsion of Trump.
#uspol
This entry was edited (2 weeks ago)
in reply to El Duvelle

Peter Gassner
Peter Gassner
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The last one hits hard for me, because that‘s also what I experience: rarely for someone, mostly the lesser of two evils 😔
in reply to Peter Gassner

El Duvelle
El Duvelle
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@peter unfortunately that has been the case for all the French elections I voted for, so in the past 20y or so - always having to vote for the lesser evil. It's really depressing. At least in France we have a two-turn presidential election so we get to express ourselves in the first turn..
@Peter Gassner
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