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Jcrabapple 💙
@rickf we know a lot based on reliable polling, early voting data, and historical data. Of course none of this is 100% accurate but I've been following this guy's prediction model and commentary and he's been the most reasonable in my opinion.
in reply to Jcrabapple 💙

A screenshot of a tweet about a political simulation. The tweet states that this is the second most likely outcome of the simulation. The image shows a map of the United States with each state colored red or blue, representing which party won the state in this simulation. The state results are also listed in a table along with the total number of electoral votes for each party. The simulation shows Harris winning the presidency.
in reply to Jcrabapple 💙

This image shows the percentage of votes that Harris and Trump received in different states. The states listed are Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, and North Carolina. The image shows that Harris had a higher percentage of votes in all of these states.