(#Trump ended up winning #Iowa by >9 points.) In 2020, her poll again showed Trump ahead by 7pts, which was both close to the final tally &, in retrospect, a sign that #Biden’s margins in neighboring states like #Wisconsin would be much thinner than other polls were indicating.

So many of us were anxious to see how big Trump’s lead would be this time, & the fact that #Selzer instead found him #losing came as a shock.

#women #BodilyAutonomy #ReproductiveRights #WomensHealth
#HarrisWalz2024

All day, #political nerds had been waiting for the results of #AnnSelzer’s famously accurate poll of #Iowa. The state hasn’t been swingy in a long time, but the #Selzer poll, conducted for The #DesMoinesRegister, can offer clues about broader trends in the electorate. In 2016, when many #Democrats were feeling complacent about a #HillaryClinton victory, her survey showing #Trump leading by 7pts in Iowa was an early indication of his underestimated strength in the Midwest.

#Women
#HarrisWalz2024

The historically most accurate pollster in the United States is Ann Selzer. She only does polls in one state - Iowa, typically a very Republican state. For the last two elections her polls were outliers that turned out to be correct, showing that Trump's support was far stronger than expected in 2016 and Biden wasn't going to run away with it in 2020.

She just put out her final poll of the election showing Kamala Harris up by 3 points... in Iowa.

youtube.com/watch?v=yTU0ZWFNmz…

#Election2024 #2024Election #Trump #DonaldTrump #JDVance #uspol #uspolitics #politics #Kamala2024 #KamalaHarris #GOP #MAGA #MAGAts #Vote #Republicans #RVAT #Democrats #HarrisWalz2024 #VoteBlue #HarrisForPresident #HarrisWalz #VoteHarris #Iowa #AnnSelzer #Polls #Poll #Selzer