🌃 Evening update for #Georgia Early Vote!

The total in-person turnout for today is 192,115, less than yesterday but still a record-breaking result.

Voting share by county has been remarkably consistent, day-after-day. I've been looking for some material change in daily trends - while the total number of voters fluctuates, the county shares remain the same.

I did get a question earlier today about the possibility of crossover voters from 🔴 self-identified Republicans. Reviewing the Marist poll's crosstabs (maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-conte…), only 2% of those Republicans indicated their preference for #Harris, while 1% of Democrats indicated their preference for #Trump. One poll of course isn't the definitive answer to the question of crossover voting, however those results indicate that crossover voters likely have no effect on outcomes.

It's looking increasingly likely that this Presidential race will be decided by unaffiliated and independent voters. Using the Marist 55% for Harris and 40% for Trump - in both the last partisan ballot pulled and the latest TargetSmart data, this narrows Harris' vote deficit to 40k votes.

The TL;DR: there are still many paths to victory for #Harris, but she needs a few days of great turnout, or else she may lose the race by a painfully small margin.