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in reply to Tim Chambers

My guess: 10-15% will come here, most of the rest will move to Threads if they haven’t already set up a presence there.
in reply to Tim Chambers

I‘m only occasionally there for reading, anyway. But why would botfarmers not just pay the fee, too?
in reply to 💠 Dave No One 💠

@dans_root
They would and they will, but this will then ring the till at chez Musk, so is pleasing to the Lord and Master of Xitter.

Free speech is not about humans, you have to understand, but means you can freely buy access at a reasonable price.

in reply to 💠 Dave No One 💠

@dans_root
Seems like it would add some friction for them, especially if X keeps the credit card number on file and only permits one or two accounts per card. Also, I don't think X will refund the fee if it shuts down a spam bot.
@tchambers @fediversenews
in reply to danimrich

@danimrich @dans_root @tchambers @fediversenews hey. He literally writes that after 3 months new users can post without a fee. I bet all those farmers have tons of accounts that are older than 3 months. And will create new ones to have some backups with quarantine already gone.
in reply to Szymon Nowicki

@sznowicki
Effectively this means that X can base its decision whether a user is real or a bot on 3 months of behavioural data. But who knows, maybe he'll require a credit card number nevertheless.
@dans_root @fediversenews
in reply to Tim Chambers

A paid centralized social network, this definitely will drive low-income users for alternatives.

That's fixing AI and bots problem and users have to pay? Great strategy...not.

in reply to Tim Chambers

I think the real impact here is in the medium term from the perspective of gov organisations. Its getting really hard to use a platform for primary communications if users (even if only new accounts) have to pay to actually see the news youre posting

makes advocacy to help gov orgs transition towards fedi platforms significantly easier

in reply to Laurens Hof

New users will have to pay to create posts of their own. They will still be able to see posts from others.
in reply to Laurens Hof

@laurenshof
we might win solely because our design lets people escape the AI algo content flood death loop.
in reply to william.maggos

Why wouldn't AI bots find their way onto fediverse servers eventually?
in reply to william.maggos

To do that you have to reliably identify them which unfortunately is likely to get more difficult.
in reply to alastair87

@alastair

@fediversenews @wjmaggos @laurenshof @tchambers

Maybe, we could look at the recent spam attack that hit the federated network for some guidance on how we could get around it.

I am building bot accounts on my instances meant to syndicate content from my web pages I am building. I set the Bot checkmark because it's the responsible thing to do.

Surely there might be ways to identify a bot on an account that isn't advertising what it is in such a way.

in reply to william.maggos

I fully predict that AI bots will soon be at a point where one of us here could be one and the other party wouldn't realise. I don't think it's remotely likely they stay at the simple repetitive level they are now. Then they can be used to join in with things like political arguments or incidentally refer to products in a way that a human might but is actually product placement.

This also raises the problem of blocking innocent humans by mistake.

in reply to alastair87

@alastair

@fediversenews @wjmaggos @laurenshof @tchambers

I want to dispute this, but then I remember the AI Vtuber Neuro-Sama and wonder really how close what you bring up actually is.

in reply to C.W. Smith

I'm real (or so I claim) but both the images on my profile are human-curated AI images. But neither distort reality by appearing realistic at least.
in reply to alastair87

@alastair @laurenshof @CWSmith

I don't doubt that y'all will be correct at some point but by then, we might not be able to trust anybody we can't smell. video and audio will be fake too. our biggest problem won't be social media related.

in reply to william.maggos

And I'm not saying this on the basis of no experience, but as someone who converses with GPT-4 and local LLMs every day. It is not many leaps at the current rate of progression before it will take a lot more effort to tell bots from us.
Unknown parent

C.W. Smith

@Jonathanglick

@tchambers @fediversenews

Maybe,

But those users will probably pay the money.

Truth is that the more reliant they are on user charges, the less influence Advertisers might have over the service. They still get a benefit from ads on X, but don't get as much say over what is put up.

Which to me is a net good over all.

Fediverse News reshared this.

Unknown parent

Tim Chambers
@Jonathanglick I'll bet the whole grift of this cropped feature offering is purely to get access to those credit cards for other future offerings, etc.
in reply to Tim Chambers

It will flatline growth, and it will only go down from there.
in reply to Tim Chambers

I wouldn't be surprised if he changes his mind by tomorrow, if he hasn't already.
in reply to Tim Chambers

I don’t think it’ll be significant if you’re completely new to microblogging it could just stop you from becoming a user rather than jumping to a different service as you don’t know how much (or little) you’d like it, if you’re not new to microblogging presumably you were joining Twitter for a specific reason.
in reply to Tim Chambers

Pretty much none, existing users won't notice it and will forget about the news a few minutes after reading it. Like how public service organisations keep exclusively posting urgent updates on X because they still think it's a public noticeboard.
Unknown parent

C.W. Smith

@Jonathanglick

Which makes perfect sense. Not everyone is gonna have that back up card they use only for certain things like that.

The nucensse factor definitely is gonna be an issue all around.

But the Bot issue is pretty bad on the centralized networks as well. And I don't know a good answer on that one. I help on some Facebook Messenger chats and we get bombarded daily with porn bots.

It may not be the best idea of how to fix the issue, but at least the discussion is being had there.

in reply to Tim Chambers

@Jonathanglick I would love to see the overlap between cards used for Twitter post-Elon and ones used for Ashley Madison.
in reply to M.S. Bellows, Jr.

@msbellows
I'm 1000% for this. This might just finally be the thing that breaks twitters hold on people.
in reply to M.S. Bellows, Jr.

@msbellows "I know, I'll charge my content creators money to produce content for me!"
in reply to Saxnot

@mrbruno @msbellows oh wait fuck then people might be incentivized to buy the stock… fuck
I forgot this isn't a walled off group. I wonder how many cents one requires for an x stock
in reply to Saxnot

@mrbruno @msbellows 40,82 USD.
So perhaps only buy a 1/4000 split and feast on the shareholder meeting buffet.
Although I assume Elmo will only provide potluck and skip on the hotel room bill. You ain't staying rich by paying money.
Ugh

In other words, i don't know.
Everyone not pretending to be elon is able to edit all posts pretending to be elon.
And lootboxes when you login every hour

in reply to Saxnot

@mrbruno @msbellows pay for more than 280 characters

like a flat rate
for every next 140 chars like a few cents and for a similar price offer audio conference with up to one other participant.

in reply to Tim Chambers

Not that I need people here who have so far been holding out on twitter. Whatever kept them there, it is unlikely they will find it here and then, boy, will they be in a bad mood.

Then they'll explain wide and high, how we should make Mastodon more welcoming (to them ...). And that it's all our fault that they don't like it here. Then they'll fly over to blsky-

in reply to Glitzersachen.de

@glitzersachen

I agree that it will just discourage folks from joining any social media or send them to bsky, etcetera. They may try the fedi, but there's enough of a learning curve to make it not worth it to a lot of folks, plus we've got being such unwelcoming, insufferable jerks going for us. 🙄
My money says one of these things will moderate any uptick in users.

@tchambers @fediversenews

in reply to helplessduck

@helplessduck @glitzersachen
I didn't expect mastodon's learning curve to be such a deterrent to broad adoption, but since it is, I'm glad it's there.
in reply to Figgy Sticky 🍉 🔻

@figstick

I don't know for sure if that's a real thing, but I imagine it must play some part. I imagine those who make it over the hump but, for whatever reason, don't do any work to make their social graphs interesting are the ones who whine about "unwelcoming." Sometimes if you back-read, those new users got chided at some early point for behaving like this *is* twitter and they're butt-hurt because they have to assimilate into common decency.

@glitzersachen @tchambers @fediversenews

in reply to Glitzersachen.de

A lot of long-established communities are on Twitter and Facebook. Unfortunately that can trap individuals on platforms they hate.
in reply to Tim Chambers

@Jonathanglick 100%

Pretty sure Elon's whole play with twitter is to get people to give him their credit cards so he can claim that the rest of the personal info he is selling is accurate, since that info needs to stay up to date in order to process payments. The rest is just catnip for clicks.

in reply to Tim Chambers

Look, everyone knows where this is going.

Yet somehow, Musk has managed to convince the desperate, the gullible and the ignorant that the painful, persistent anal intrusion they are experiencing is essential to their business and personal well being.

Payup bitches!!

in reply to Tim Chambers

It's just a way to make money from bots like the "buy a blue check" thing was, no? @fediversenews
in reply to Tim Chambers

I was just reading about this via Reddit. Crazy. I get he wants more revenue, but I feel like this will have the opposite effect.
Unknown parent

Adam Dalliance
@Jonathanglick
Yep. He really wants everyone to connect their bank account to the shitposting site he bought so he can call it an everything app and try and skim user to user payments.
in reply to Tim Chambers

Once you finally consider that #ElonTheSnowflakeMusk is tanking #Twitter ON PURPOSE, then suddenly EVERYTHING he does makes sense.
in reply to Tim Chambers

I bet it's going to work just as well as charging for a blue check
in reply to Tim Chambers

> [...] new accounts would be able to post after three months of creation without paying a fee.

This just means the bot farms have to put three months planning into their attacks. Create the accounts, leave them dormant for three months, then activate. So, really, it's not going to solve anything.

in reply to Brandon 🇨🇦 😷 5×💉

You have a much greater chance to catch them before they do any damage, then.
in reply to Tim Chambers

No surprise.

You will have to pay to be a member of the cult.

in reply to Tim Chambers

I feel like he's been talking about this for the better part of a year, and hasn't managed to get high enough to order it done yet.
in reply to Tim Chambers

sorry to say but i don't think they are coming here.
a lot of people made pretty clear they don't want them over here ...
@fediversenews

reshared this

in reply to Tim Chambers

> While replying to another user, Musk later added that new accounts would be able to post after three months of creation without paying a fee.

Thereby proving that the bot excuse is a lie. Bots can easily wait 3 months before they begin doing their thing.

in reply to Tim Chambers

what do you mean new users? Is anyone still signing up in there?
in reply to Tim Chambers

remember when redditors thought of him as a genuis next tony stark. wow how wrong we were lol
in reply to Tim Chambers

He seems to think that having access to stolen credit cards is some impediment to the Russian troll farms, lol.
This entry was edited (3 weeks ago)
in reply to BrianKrebs

@briankrebs Just gives them something else to do with them. Chances that some of the $$ comes back to them washed through a dead bird’s gizzard, if you know what I’m saying? 😉
in reply to BrianKrebs

I think it probably is in terms of slowing it down a bit as it increases the effort. Not so much in terms of stopping them, nor in the longer term.
in reply to Tim Chambers

The type of person willing to pay shouldn't be allowed to post in the first place.
in reply to Tim Chambers

this is silly.

I was telling @mainframed767 that I've seen this problem addressed in simpler ways.

WeChat is fighting the same bot problem.

Solution?

In person verification of a new user by an existing user who scans their "I verify you as real" QR code. To prevent abuse you can only get one person a month or quarter. No payment needed.

If you have no friends to vet you, you can supply a payment card. No charge required. Just set it up on file. Of course they'll encourage you to then use their app's payment platform but that's just clever business.

in reply to Tim Chambers

"Only new accounts". Like trollfarms don't look more than 3 months ahead.
in reply to Tim Chambers

marginal to none?

The ones left on shitter, stay because it is single instance and they have a base reach.

So it will be either threads or bluesky?

in reply to Tim Chambers

Feel like many there have committed to staying at this point, the only way they'll go is if it affects their use of the site. If it doesn't stop them tweeting or reading or limit the reach of their tweets they'll stick with it, ethical or principle-based reasons to leave are long past.
in reply to Tim Chambers

What if 'free trial period.. but reverse'
~Musk genius~
in reply to Tim Chambers

yeah, but tesla car owners will get free twitter accounts I’m sure, so it’ll work out.
in reply to Tim Chambers

"Musk later added that new accounts would be able to post after three months of creation without paying a fee."
It shouldn't cause existing users to leave. It won't stop bots, because creating a bot and then doing nothing with it for 3+ months costs nothing. It will discourage new users, but I doubt Xitter is getting a lot of new users anyway.

@fediversenews

in reply to Tim Chambers

@Tim Chambers

[...] and to curb the bot problem

Bruh, most of these are state/political actors trying to manipulate public discourse. That $1 fee will do nothing against them.

in reply to Tim Chambers

It's like he is purposely trying to destroy Twitter 🔥
in reply to Mast0b1t

@mastobit @jejord So why are we still posting screenshots from that place? It raises their value....😬

Fediverse News reshared this.

in reply to BeAware :veriweed:

@BeAware 😐😑😐 Because #SarahKendzior is not on Mastodon.

I prefer reposting accounts that migrated from TwiX to here whenever possible. Whenever not possible, from elsewhere.

Keep in mind, however 💩 TwiX may now be, it still holds invaluable human history dating to 2006 -- 18 years.

So while it remains, I don't mind going back to fish for resources I otherwise cannot find on Mastodon and posting here. Partly to preserve an iota of what was on TwiX in Mastodon instead.