And it will occur in SE Asia and Australia.

theage.com.au/environment/clim…

‘They ain’t seen nothing yet’: UN boss names climate change impacts coming to Australia

Top UN climate official Simon Stiell says Australia will be “front and centre in resettling entire national populations” if climate targets are not met.

^{Nick O'Malley (The Age)}

And in low-lying Pacific Island nations (which the Australian government has already acknowledged)

theguardian.com/australia-news…

Australia to offer residency to Tuvalu citizens displaced by climate change

Anthony Albanese announces immigration plan with special visa category for people affected by rising sea levels in the vulnerable Pacific island nation

^{Daniel Hurst (The Guardian)}

A deep dive into SE Asian climate impacts (including Northern Australia).

During the 2022 Australasian Fire and Advisory Council conference (co-hosted with the Australian Institute for Disaster Resilience), Robert Glasser delivered a keynote summarising the implications of Global Warming in SE Asia.

Here is Robert's bio: iceds.anu.edu.au/people/visiti…

Dr Robert Glasser

Dr Glasser was until recently the Special Representative of the Secretary General for Disaster Risk Reduction, Assistant Secretary General and Head of the United Nations Office of Disaster Risk Reduction (UNISDR).

^{ANU Institute for Climate, Energy & Disaster Solutions}

It's been an open secret in Canberra (particularly within Defence) for years that global warming will cause a human catastrophe in SE Asia and will create a mass migrations of tens of millions of peoples throughout the SE Asian archipelago.

The implications for Northern Australia are immense - both from an immigration perspective and from the point of view of human habitability. Parts of Northern Australia will exceed the limits of human physiology in future wet seasons.

In polite society, this has never been discussed. But now that Robert can present these arguments at a national conference, I guess the cat is now out of the bag.

Here were his slides.

Robert began by reminding us that 1.5 degrees is already locked in - and the impacts of fractions of degrees beyond that will be highly non-linear