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Items tagged with: RUSpol
(3/n)
...collapse, IMO, not on other signifcant factors (escape clause: if #China were to be engaged in a war with the West regarding #Taiwan at that point in time, its resources might be overstretched.)
That said, find your hypothesis regarding a better availability about information on the "outside world" in #Russia intriguing. I've begun asking around about it.
I see the initial problem that discussing that kind of sensitive information would chiefly...
(2/n)
...how many people are in your bio's background photo. ;)
Now back to #Russia:
Quite a few learned people who know more about Russian history and politics have been talking about this partitioning scenario (which is how I really see it, though I do give it a "more-likely-than-not" probability ;).)
On the other hand, regarding #China, I have read several text that do warrant my estimation. This scenario depends only on the #RussianFederation's...
(1/n)
LOL. Semantics. Actually, not. I was using estimation, not estimate, on purpose: 1) judgement, opinion.
However, I did like the ambivalence. ;)
To say you are not "wise enough" shows wisdom. ;)
A prediction is, in my view, too, something that is excpected to happen, a forecast.
More mathematically, I'd say it has to do with probabilities.
An estimate does not need to have predictive qualities. - Estimate...
(2/2)
...with its former capital, #Karakorum.
The #European parts will probably be reunited with Europe, culturally and economically speaking.
In between? Warlords, I guess.
This is why I'm also gravely concerned about the eventual Fall of The House of #Putin aka the #RussianFederation. When the #SovieetUnion collapsed, many arms went "missing."
Also, the civilian use of nuclear energy can eventually lead to atomic weapons, as #NorthKorea and #Iran have shown.
The Fall of the House of Putin
(1/2)
Hopefully, Biden will remain in office for 4 more years, though he will need to tune down (economic) protectionism, in particular with military allies.
In my opinion, the #RussianFederation will fracture in 3 bigger parts and several smaller ones. The far eastern parts will be claimed by the #CCP, they've already begun renaming them. This will bode bad news for #Mongolia, as it is the heartland of the #Yuan Dynasty...
